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Americans’ confidence in courts hits all-time low; did Trump cases have bipartisan impact?

By Debra Cassens Weiss

December 18, 2024, 10:25 am CST

Americans’ confidence in the courts hit an all-time low of 35% in 2024, a decrease of 24 percentage points in four years, according to a Gallup poll released Tuesday.

Confidence declined among those who disapproved of President Joe Biden’s leadership, as well as among those who approved, according to an online Gallup summary. The poll did not ask about political party.

The Associated Press covered the findings.

“The results come after a tumultuous period that included the overturning of the nationwide right to abortion, the indictment of former President Donald Trump and the subsequent withdrawal of federal charges, and his attacks on the integrity of the judicial system,” the article says.

The only indictment that led to a conviction had alleged that Trump falsified business records to pay hush money to adult film actress Stormy Daniels in a bid to bolster his election in 2016.

Confidence in courts among those disapproving of Biden’s leadership declined from 46% in 2021 to 29% in 2024. Among those who approved of Biden’s leadership, confidence remained steady at 62% between 2021 and 2023, before decreasing to 44% this year.

The legal cases against Trump likely affected the confidence of both sets of respondents, Gallup said. Those who dislike Biden may have been dissatisfied with the cases against Trump. Those who like Biden many have been dissatisfied with court decisions favoring Trump.

Only nine nations had greater decreases in confidence in the courts over the same four-year period, the New York Times points out. They were Myanmar, Venezuela, Croatia, South Africa, Syria, Hong Kong, Morocco, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uzbekistan.

Lydia Saad, the director of U.S. social research at Gallup, told the New York Times that the results represent “a striking decline” in the global context.

“These drops are typically associated with pretty significant political upheavals,” Saad said.

A separate Gallup poll asked about Americans’ trust in the federal judicial branch headed by the U.S. Supreme Court. Forty-eight percent said they had a great deal or a fair amount of confidence, according to findings released in October.

But political party made a difference. Among Republicans, 71% had a great deal or a fair amount of trust in the federal judicial branch headed by the Supreme Court. Among Democrats, only 24% had such confidence.

Gallup also asked whether respondents approved or disapproved of the job being done by the Supreme Court. Overall, 44% of Americans approved of the Supreme Court. Seventy-two percent of Republicans approved, while 15% of Democrats approved.

The Supreme Court ruled in July in Trump v. United States that presidents have absolute immunity when exercising core constitutional powers and at least presumptive immunity for acts “within the outer perimeter” of their official responsibilities.

The Supreme Court’s decision holding that there is no constitutional right to abortion, Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, was released in June 2022. The next month, Democratic approval of the court decreased to 13%.

“When we ask Republicans about the Supreme Court, they’re still very positive,” Saad told the New York Times. “When you don’t pin them down on the Supreme Court and talk about the courts, they’re saying the courts are misbehaving and engaging in quote-unquote lawfare.”

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